Ranking Larry Coker
The head man has an extension. A well deserved one. Let us all give him a round of applause for the incredible job he has done here. Building a program is no joke, and winning with a startup isn’t the easiest thing in the world to do. It is well documented that the jump to FBS was the quickest in history and with this year’s concluding 7-5 season being the in-your-face-stat to throw at everyone.
Considering what he was working with he has done amazing well. Now we have some numbers to prove this thing. Thanks to Dagga Roosta at Barking Carnival and his breakdown of all the coaches in FBS. Read the post and download the data if you want to play around with rankings all night. I did and I will. Here is some of the more interesting UTSA-related stuff I found while playing with the data. One thing to note: This doesn’t go all the way to the end of the year. We are missing two games — the UNT and LaTech games in which UTSA clearly improved the F+ and Sagarin ratings which in turn reflect on how well the Coaching rating for Larry Coker calculates.
Here are the Talent rankings — this is an average of the Scout and Rivals rankings adjusted for the increase in scouting ability by the two services. It is a rolling four-year average. The closer to 40 a ranking is the closer it is to bad. You’ll notice there is a smattering of newbies among the rankings there. Obviously FCS-to-FBS transition programs will have a slightly more difficult time competing with FBS schools in recruiting. Also, it is important to not that this doesn’t mean that UTSA doesn’t have talent, just not as highly ranked talent and not a whole lot of it. If he continues to lead the program the assumption is that he will bring in better — more highly ranked — into the program.
We all know Larry won a title at Miami. We also know how that ended. Here’s the thing — Larry Coker is in a totally different situation. One point the Barking Carnival guys made about this model is the necessary football knowledge it requires to interpret. Conference USA 2014 UTSA is not ACC 2007 Miami. Florida is not Texas and San Antonio isn’t Miami, Florida. Whereas Larry may have done an average job with his predecessor’s recruits at the U, he has done a fantastic job with his own charges here at UTSA. That is significant. These Talent rankings won’t change much over the next two or three years — they are a rolling average remember — but there likely will be some and if Larry can keep up the great work, we should see some more fantastic UTSA seasons.
I encourage you to download the data and take a look for yourself.
One last look at the entire CUSA as of two weeks ago:
Remember that CxT is coaching multiplied by talent. Rank the coaches by Coaching and you see Larry did the most with the least. Incredible.
Editor extraordinaire, UTSA grad student. Twitter